Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 0.091444 0.107359 0.125138 0.146464 0.171341 0.199438 0.233579
2025-12-14 0.066477 0.085864 0.109589 0.140726 0.180490 0.229553 0.294689
2025-12-21 0.051229 0.072025 0.099615 0.138822 0.193047 0.265350 0.369074
2025-12-28 0.042181 0.064043 0.095243 0.142882 0.213664 0.314843 0.470407
2026-01-04 0.035657 0.058084 0.092299 0.148076 0.236532 0.371198 0.591650
2026-01-11 0.030168 0.052445 0.088590 0.151172 0.256541 0.426485 0.721102
2026-01-18 0.025338 0.046803 0.083681 0.151210 0.271390 0.475839 0.849526
2026-01-25 0.020763 0.040609 0.076593 0.146045 0.276239 0.509052 0.956126
2026-02-01 0.016975 0.035043 0.069511 0.139418 0.277027 0.534883 1.053493
2026-02-08 0.014410 0.031298 0.065088 0.136876 0.284790 0.574321 1.182286
2026-02-15 0.012199 0.027809 0.060496 0.133076 0.289250 0.607855 1.304726
2026-02-22 0.010847 0.025880 0.058728 0.134754 0.305116 0.666359 1.487157
2026-03-01 0.009419 0.023588 0.055978 0.134303 0.317505 0.722129 1.679116
2026-03-08 0.008006 0.021030 0.052161 0.130764 0.322533 0.763360 1.847782
2026-03-15 0.006988 0.019222 0.049751 0.130103 0.334247 0.821876 2.067484
2026-03-22 0.006386 0.018354 0.049465 0.134653 0.359566 0.916686 2.391458
2026-03-29 0.005889 0.017662 0.049496 0.140051 0.388139 1.024505 2.767687
2026-04-05 0.005359 0.016752 0.048773 0.143308 0.411804 1.124300 3.141997
2026-04-12 0.004784 0.015578 0.047084 0.143555 0.427387 1.206010 3.483747
2026-04-19 0.004124 0.013987 0.043878 0.138778 0.427925 1.247623 3.723765
2026-04-26 0.003520 0.012425 0.040429 0.132555 0.423040 1.273447 3.924294
2026-05-03 0.003103 0.011384 0.038363 0.130187 0.429362 1.332512 4.233331
2026-05-10 0.002714 0.010339 0.036066 0.126602 0.431218 1.378875 4.513187